Discovery v3

Tiered wallet intelligence

Tier guide

Alpha

Wallets that enter before price moves. High win rate, positive closing-line value, accurate probability estimates.

  • CLV > 0 — buying before consensus forms
  • Brier score below population median
  • Early entry on major markets
Whale

High-volume traders with consistent 90-day profitability. Their size convictions move prices.

  • Avg trade $1K+, replicable liquidity
  • Positive realized PnL over 90 days
  • Consistent hit rate across markets
Specialist

Domain experts in one category. They outperform in their niche through context the market lacks.

  • ≥60% volume in one category
  • Edge rate above category baseline

Execution states

HOT STREAKOptimal copy window
CONSISTENTSteady long-term edge
SLOWINGPerformance declining
COOLDOWNTemporarily paused
NEWInsufficient data

Score columns

Composite
Weighted blend of all pillars
Heat
Recent momentum vs baseline
Risk DNA
Sizing consistency over time
Brier
Probability accuracy
CLV
Edge at close vs entry price
Niche
Dominance in top category